The summary for the world economy for Tuesday, 27 April 2010:

• Wall St closed barely higher, up 0.01%, ahead of Senate hearing today
on Goldman Sachs. Interest rates are expected to remain low ahead of
the US FOMC Wednesday, and BOJ this week. US 1Q’2010 GDP
estimate Friday. Dollar up. Commodities down.
• Dow of 11,205 is overbought, with the weekly overhead trendline at
the 61.8% retracement of 11,247. A dip below 11,000, will correct
to the 10,844 low of 8/4/2010. The next low of 11/3/2010 at
10,507, is about 50% retracement. RSI is at 72.
• Dollar Index is lower at 81.2. Upside is at 83.5.
• Dollar yen is up at 94.1 yen.
• Euro/dollar is lower at 1.333. Support is at 1.315.
• Crude oil is lower at USD84.
• Gold is lower at USD1,154. Pullback support is at 1128.
• Shanghai closed lower at 2969
• Singapore STI closed higher 3005.
• Ringgit is firmer at 3.183. Upside is at 3.15.
• S’pore ringgit is down at 2.326. A small pullback is likely.
• Malaysian market closed higher at 1340. While the RSI of 61, and
the Stochastic are recovering, the upside is likely to be capped at
1349. Caution is on a downside breach of the Moving Average of
1336. Today’s range is between 1337 and 1342.
• CPO May futures is higher at RM2568, targeting 2631.
• Trading ideas on :
MRCB ( 1651 : 1.60 ) : Recovering
TGOFFS ( 7228 : 1.20) : Consolidation breakout

-Jupiter

ANy comment? Just drop it here :)

Harini lewat gua masuk online, ada hal sikit kasi settle....spt biasa market lembab cam biasa...walaupon market US (DJIA) smlm masih kekal dgn HIJAUnya..KLCI skrg masih tak menentu....as I mentioned beberapa kali sblm ni, selagi 1345 is not broken successfully, KLCI belom confirm bullish....walupun,DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) masih kekal dgn bullish, tetapi ia sudah overbought, pancit dan overdue utk profit taking....Kepada yg berminat utk invest dlm stock market (or even Unit Trust), this is my advice:

1) Kepada yg BELUM invest, better jgn invest lagi, tunggu dan lihat...dlm keadaan market tak menentu ni, better jgn masuk...kalau mau masuk jugak, invest hanya 30% out of your total allocation...

2) Kepada yg dah invest separuh dari wang anda, better jgn buat apa2....

3) Kepada yg dah invest SEPENUHNYA dari wang anda, better, jual separuh dari pegangan, terutama counter2 yg anda sudah untung dan berada dlm keadaan sideway....

Whatever pon, itu semua is my advice aja,it's your money, and you have the right to do whatever you like to your money....

Ada pertanyaan atau komen, tinggal aja sini :)

The summary for the world economy for Monday, 26 April 2010:

• Wall St closed 0.6% higher, led by a surge in commodities, Amex
earnings and drug makers. Greece fiscal concern eased, following a
request of up to USD53bln aid from EU and IMF. A surprise weak
Durable goods order, down 1.3% in March, was mitigated by strong
new home sales in March, up 27% from Feb. Yen gains on flight to
safety, due to sluggish equities. Dollar down. Commodities up.
• Dow of 11,204 is overbought, with strong resistance at the 61.8%
retracement of 11,247, indicating a correction. A dip below 11,000,
will correct to the 10,844 low of 8/4/2010. The next low of
11/3/2010 at 10,507, is about 50% retracement. RSI is at 70.
• Dollar Index is lower at 81.3. Upside is at 83.5.
• Dollar yen is down at 92.8 yen.
• Euro/dollar is higher at 1.339. Support is at 1.315.
• Crude oil is higher at USD85.
• Gold is higher at USD1,153. Pullback support is at 1128.
• Shanghai closed lower at 2983
• Singapore STI closed higher 2982.
• Ringgit is firmer at 3.195. It may retest the high of 3.178.
• S’pore ringgit is steady at 2.33. A small pullback is likely.
• Malaysian market closed unchanged at 1336. While the RSI of 59,
and the Stochastic are recovering, the upside is likely to be capped at
1349. Caution is on a downside breach of the Moving Average of
1336. Today’s range is between 1334 and 1342.
• CPO May futures is higher at RM2558, targeting 2631.
• Trading ideas on :
D&O ( 7204 : 0.84 ) : Double Bottom
DATAPRP ( 8338 : 0.35 ) : Targeting 0.43

-Jupiter

Spt biasa, as expected DJIA masih bullish dan takde tanda2 yang depa nak bukak kandang BERUANG yet....not yet....skrg ni dlm range 11,100-11,200...

Tapi as usual jugak, KLCI masih belom betul2 bullish, selagi 1345 is not broken....just be careful babe....

By the time KLCI "realize" yang "rupa-rupanya" DJIA tgh bullish rupanya, dan by the time KLCI baru terhegeh2 mau "betul2 bulish" time tu DJIA akan start profit taking kaw2, dan KLCI takde option lain melainkan kena cucuk hidung aja nanti....atas dasar tu, hati2 kepada yg ingin invest much money....

Any comment?

My watchlist for this morning:

Supermx: Buy if 7.40 is broken, medium term 7.80, medium term 8.40...long term 10.70
Scomi: buy if 0.52 is broken, Short term TP 0.545,medium term 0.60, long term 0.78
Kpj-wa: buy if 1.43 is broken, short term 1.47, medium term 1.54
Dufu: BUy if 0.645 is broken, medium term target 0.675
Eng: buy if 2.85 is broken, short term target 2.98, medium term 3.46
Pelikan: buy if 1.38 is broken, medium term target 1.47

These are some of my watchlist counters, and my own pooint of view....not a recommendation to buy or sell, unless at your own risk....:)

Wallahu'alam...

Any comment?

Berapa target kita untuk bersara? Maksud saya berapa wang simpanan atau harta yg kita ada sblm kita bersara? RM200k? RM300k?

Atau soalan lain, siapa target nak jadi jutawan? Sblm umur berapa thn? Semua org ingin jadi jutawan semasa umur muda...untuk mengejar impian masing2....

Tapi tercapaikah cita-cita tersebut? Ok,mari kita baca petikan dari Utusan di bawah,jgn terkejut ya....

Perlu RM1 juta untuk bersara (utusan)

Rakyat Malaysia memerlukan
simpanan sekurang-kurangnya RM1 juta untuk memastikan kehidupan yang selesa
selepas bersara, kata Pengarah Kanan Hubungan Pelanggan ReMark Malaysia,
Sasitharan Krishnan.

Berdasarkan kajian yang dijalankan di kalangan
sebilangan besar pesara di negara ini, katanya, ramai yang tidak dapat mencapai
jumlah simpanan yang sepatutnya dan ini menyebabkan mereka terpaksa mencari
kerja walau pun selepas bersara.

Kegagalan membuat simpanan mencukupi,
katanya, adalah disebabkan kerana mereka tidak merancang kewangan lebih awal dan
tiada sikap disiplin dalam menabung.
Kajian itu, menurutnya, turut
menunjukkan bahawa simpanan dalam Kumpulan Wang Simpanan Pekerja (KWSP) yang
dikumpul bertahun-tahun lamanya hanya mampu bertahan dalam tempoh tiga tahun
sahaja.

"Keadaan ini amat membimbangkan. Dengan ini, saya menyarankan
agar kerajaan menimbangkan semula cadangan usia persaraan 55 tahun kepada 65
tahun,” katanya ketika ditemui selepas Seminar Perancangan Kewangan yang
diadakan di sini sempena Minggu Saham Amanah Malaysia (MSAM) 2010.

Menurutnya, usia persaraan 55 tahun adalah terlalu awal untuk rakyat
Malaysia memandangkan usia itu dianggap masih belum matang berbanding di Eropah
dan Jepun yang mengamalkan pencen pada usia 65 tahun...

Any comment?

Harini perhatikan counter teknologi...

Antaranya:

Dufu - menuju "MEDIUM TERM TARGET 0.64...kalau broken
0.64....menuju 0.68-0.72....

UNISEM - sambung pecut ke 3.40...short term
TP 3.46...medium target 3.64...

ENG - percubaan kali entah ke berapa
untuk pecah resistance...immediate resistance 2.85 followed by 2.94 and 3.00....

These are some of my watchlist counters, and my own pooint of view....not a recommendation to buy or sell, unless at your own risk....:)

Wallahu'alam...

Any comment?

The summary for the world economy for Thursday, 22 April 2010:


• Wall St closed 0.09% higher, recovering from an early sell off due to
concern over larger than reported Greek fiscal trouble. Better housing
figures, and above estimate corporate earnings, cushioned the fall. US
existing home sales rose to 5.35mln unit annual rate in March.
Wholesale inflation PPI up 0.7% in March. Weekly initial jobless claims
down to 456,000. Dollar rose on flight to safety. Dollar up.
Commodities down.
• All in all, Dow of 11,134 is overbought, with strong resistance at the
61.8% retracement of 11,247, indicating a correction. A dip below
11,000, will correct to the 10,844 low of 8/4/2010. The next
low of 11/3/2010 at 10,507, is about 50% retracement. RSI is
at 68.
• Dollar Index is higher at 81.5. Upside is at 83.5.
• Dollar yen is down at 93.1 yen.
• Euro/dollar is lower at 1.33. Support is at 1.315.
• Crude oil is unchanged at USD83.
• Gold is lower at USD1,142. Pullback support is at 1128.
• Shanghai closed lower at 2999
• Singapore STI closed higher 2981.
• Ringgit is weaker at 3.206. Support is at 3.26.
• S’pore ringgit is steady at 2.33.
• Malaysian market closed higher at 1337. While the RSI of 59, and
the Stochastic are recovering, the upside is likely to be capped at
1349. The market is back above the Moving Average of 1335. Today’s
range is between 1332 and 1340.
• CPO May futures is higher at RM2510. Support is at 2425.
• Trading ideas on :
MEASAT ( 3875 : 2.99 ) : Downside 2.80-2.68
UNISEM ( 5005 : 3.31 ) : Targeting 3.66, stop loss 3.12

-Jupiter

Any comment guys?

Atas permintaan, gua beri ulasan beberapa counters yg gua watch / involve / buy / sell:

Dufu -->buy below 0.55, TP short term 0.585, TP medium term 0.64, long term
0.78

3A--> buy below 1.90, TP short term 2.04, medium term
2.16...long term 2.46...

Scomi --> skrg ni tgh main2 polis entry kat
support 0.49..immeidiate resistance at 0.52, diikuti 0.54....Scomi kalau dia
berjaya break 0.52, dia akan retest 0.54-0.545.
consider this counter not ready for bullish yet, but worth to accumulate at this cheap price...

Scomi-wa --> hati2...sbb scomi masih belum break resistance, takut
dia retest support at 0.44 and 0.40...if broken, paham2 la apa akan jadi kat
anaknya

KPJ-WA --> bila maknya KPJ naik, anaknya naik "TAK SEPERTI
yang sepatutnyer"...di mana naiknya sikit.......bila mak dia turun sikit,
anaknya PULAK turun KAW2...kelakuan tersebut meybbkan KPJ-wa menjadi semakin RENDAH PREMIUMNYA....which is good for long term...tak tau apa mainan mereka...tapi harga 1.33-1.35 is a good price to buy...

UNISEM --> sudah SELADANG dah DEWASA (super bull), sudah cecah 3.35....hargani tak sesuai utk beli, tapi sesuai utk MENJUAL, ehehe...kalau nak beli bawah 3.00 is a good suport for now...

JCY --> good counter..now..1.93...and counting...2.00, macam boleh touch down by 5pm aja ni...good price to buy masa bawah 1.70...tapi skrg sudah berlepas...

MKLAND -->watch it....0.34-0.345 is a strong support...and god price to accumulate...

These are some of my watchlist counters, and my own pooint of view....not a recommendation to buy or sell, unless at your own risk....:)

Wallahu'alam...

Any comment?

Here i attached the summary for the world economy for Thursday, 22 April 2010:

• Wall St closed 0.07% higher, continually driven by a string of above
estimate corporate earnings. This boosts the dollar. Dollar up.
Commodities up.
• All in all, Dow of 11,124 is overbought, with strong resistance at the
61.8% retracement of 11,247, indicating a correction. A dip below
10,960, will correct to the 10,844 low of 8/4/2010. The next
low of 11/3/2010 at 10,507, is about 50% retracement. RSI is
at 67.
• Dollar Index is higher at 81.2. Upside is at 83.5.
• Dollar yen is steady at 93.26 yen.
• Euro/dollar is lower at 1.34. Support is at 1.34, and 1.315.
• Crude oil is unchanged at USD83.
• Gold is higher at USD1,148. Pullback support is at 1128.
• Shanghai closed higher at 3033
• Singapore STI closed lower 2977.
• Ringgit is firmer at 3.196. Support is at 3.26.
• S’pore ringgit is steady at 2.33.
• Malaysian market closed lower at 1333. Technicals are in a
negative situation, indicating rising risk of a sell off. MACD is
negative. And the market is back below the Moving Average of 1335.
Stochastic is recovering, but the RSI of 57 remains in a sell
divergence. Today’s range is between 1330 and 1336.
• CPO May futures is lower at RM2514. Support is at 2425.

-Jupiter

Dari hari ke hari, kita tengok nilai Ringgit naik dan naik..ini dirangsang oleh penurunan mendadak nilai US Dollar, Euro dan GBP (Pound Sterling). Kenaikan Ringgit juga disebabkan ekonomi Malaysia yang membangun. New Economic Model (NEM) atau Model Ekonomi Baru (MEB)yang baru dilancarkan beberapa minggu lalu juga, mungkin akan merangsang lebih ramai pelabur untuk melabur dalam Malaysia.

Ada 3 perkara mengapa pelabur luar negara patut melabur di dalam Malaysia:

1) Ekonomi Malaysia yang membangun dari masa ke semasa, adalah much better than ekonomi US, UK mahupun Eropah yang merupakan negara maju, tapi mengalami kemorosotan.

2) Stock Market Malaysia (BSKL) masih murah berbanding negara-negara lain.

3) Nilai Ringgit Malaysia (RM) yang menaik juga menarik pelabur...

Oleh itu, sapa yang melabur kat dalam Malaysia akan untung 2 kali, pertama keuntungan bisnes atau pelaburan, kedua nilai Ringgit yang menaik....

Atas dasar tu, maka ramai pelabur akan masuk ke Malaysia. Apabila ramai pelabur masuk Malaysia untuk melabur, mereka akan bawa matawang asing masuk ke Malaysia, dan membeli Ringgit Malaysia. Maka demand akan naik. Maka naik lagi la nilai RM.

Malaysia menjangka nilai RM akan menaik kepada 1USD=RM3.00 sebelum hujung tahun. Gua rasa ia satu angkat yang munasabah...

Berikut kulampirkan berita dari Utusan:

Ringgit: RM3 setiap AS$1 akhir tahun

KUALA LUMPUR 15 April - Ringgit dijangka terus mengukuh dan meningkat kepada RM3.00 bagi setiap
dolar Amerika Syarikat (AS) menjelang akhir tahun ini.

Pengarah Eksekutif Institut Penyelidikan Ekonomi Malaysia (MIER), Dr. Zakariah Abdul Rashid berkata, peningkatan mata wang negara itu adalah seiring dengan mata wang lain di rantau ini termasuk yuan.

''Ringgit dijangka bergerak selari dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi,'' katanya ketika ditemui selepas taklimat Ekonomi Korporat ke-15 di sini hari ini.

Mata wang tempatan itu pernah mencapai
paras tertinggi pada kadar RM3.18 berbanding dolar AS kira-kira dua tahun lalu.

Ringgit didagangkan lebih tinggi pada awal dagangan hari ini kepada
RM3.1890 berbanding RM3.1990 ketika penutup semalam.

Mengulas lanjut Dr. Zakariah berkata, pengukuhan ringgit dijangka menarik lebih banyak pelabur asing ke dalam negara, sekali gus melonjakkan pertumbuhan ekonomi domestik.

Kemasukan pelabur asing bakal memberi banyak peluang ekonomi termasuk
pekerjaan, peningkatan pengeluaran dan nilai tambah.

''Perkembangan ini akan mendorong lebih banyak nilai tambah dalam ekonomi dan ia baik untuk rakyat Malaysia,'' katanya.

Pada masa yang sama Dr. Zakariah berkata, secara
teorinya, peningkatan nilai ringgit memberi kesan negatif jika perdagangan
dilakukan menggunakan mata wang tempatan tetapi kebanyakan urus niaga eksport
dan import kini adalah berasaskan dolar AS.

Bagi komen sikit ok kawan2

Salam all,
Dah lama betul tak update blog, busy dgn kerja...

Anyway, harini gua nak sentuh sikit ttg harga minyak dunia...sblm ni gua ada mentioned dlm previous post (http://kakilabur.blogspot.com/2010/02/oil-rises-again-towards-80-per-barrel.html ) bahawa harga minyak akan terus naik...gua ada mentioned bahawa, resistance pertama pada USD80, diikuti USD82....then USD85 diikuti USD90...lepas tu USd100....

Skg ni kita tgk USD85 dah dengan jayanya ditembusi. Harga minyak bergelegar sekitar USD85-USD87 utk sekurang-kurangnya seminggu hingga 2 minggu...ini bermakna uptrend akan terus berlaku dlm harga minyak...kalau breakout USD90 berlaku, USD100 menyusul..kalau benteng USD100 jugak berjaya ditembusi....alamat pergi balik ke paras USD148 dan seterusnya USD200....

Persoalannnya bilkah ia akan berlaku? We never know...maybe thn ni....atau thn 2011....tapi gua rasa by end of year USD120 will be on track...

Apakah puncanya kenaikan harga minyak ni? Tu antara soalan yg mungkin ditanya....ada 3 sebab utama:

1) Demand yang tinggi, supply kurang...selalunya kalau berlaku perang ke atas negara-negara pengeluar utama, harga minyak akan melambung la...sbb tu saya harap US tak perang dgn Iran....bahaya oo....bukan saja harga minyak akan naik, tapi juga ekonomi dunia sure akan menjunam...not to mention perang nuklear, yg impaknya amat teruk..

2) dimanipulasi oleh sindiket...seperti yg berlaku sblm ni,di mana ia naik terus menerus sampai USD148 per barrel...lepas tu terus menjunam ke paras about USD36 per tong, and now USD86 per tong....tak ke volatile tu??? siapa lagi kalau bukan kerja2 puak yahudi yang mempermain2kan ekonomi dunia....mereka banyak duit...senang control harga....

3) ekonomi dunia sudah pulih...antara sebabnya jugak kenapa harga minyak menjunam dari USD148 kepada USD36 pada 2008, adalah disbbakan ekonomi dunia yang merosot....so what?? bila ekonomi dunia merosot, kilang-kilang, manufacturer2, dan lain2 akan kurang production sbb demand kurang...so, penggunaaan minyak kurang. Maka demand minyak kurang, so harga pon menuruun...tapi skrg ekonomi dunia sudah naik, maka sbb tu harga minyak pon turut naik....nak senang citer, harga minyak agak sejajar dengan ekonomi....TAPI TAK SEMESTINYA....di mana apabila harga minyak dah naik tinggi sgt, ekonomi pulak akan menurun balik, sbb kenaikan minyak affect harga barang2, harga kos, etc.....benda ni agak complicated....hehe....

Apa pun, gua rasa sblm 2nd Half of 2010, harga minyak akan cecah USD96-USd98 per barrel.....that is my target...

Apa patut kita sbg org kebanyakan boleh buat? tak byk boleh kita buat..

1) kumpul minyak dlm tong besar, sblm harga minyak naik
2) beli stok saham minyak...kalau kat BSKL boleh beli SAPCRES, DIALOG, Tanjung Offshore, Kencana, Dayang,Deleum, Saag, Perisai, KNM, Shell, Petdag dan sebagainya....hehe....

Wallahu'alam....

Takkan baca aja kawan2,komen ler sikit, hehe